Any compilation of the world's most dangerous terrorists is a
hazardous undertaking, a shifting list that's open to endless
debate. If you live in Moscow, Chechen Islamist leader Doku Umarov would
feature prominently. Many Israelis would likely include Hezbollah
leader Hassan Nasrallah on their list and people living in the southern
Philippines, the Abu Sayyaf group. Nigerians would undoubtedly name
Abubakar Shekau as the country's number one enemy.
Some
terror figures who were among the most wanted several years ago, such as
Abu Anas al Libi -- who was captured last weekend in Libya -- appear
not to have been active for some time. Even some terrorists try to
retire.
Other figures lose relevance as their group loses
territory, membership and/or funding. Groups such as al Qaeda in the
Islamic Maghreb have been prone to internal rifts. Additionally, al
Qaeda, especially in Pakistan, has moved away from identifying senior
operational figures because of the effects of U.S. drone strikes, so
some of a new generation of most dangerous terrorist figures may not yet
be known to us.
The following selection is intended neither as
definitive nor a "league table." It focuses not on organizations but on
men (and they are all men) alleged to be plotting, directing -- and in
some instances carrying out -- acts of terror aimed at causing mass
casualties among civilians.
Some are ideologues and planners,
others "operational," and some are both. They think and act in a
regional and in some cases a global context. Some of the individuals
below have appeared on previous lists compiled by CNN and others, and
have lived long enough to warrant a second or third appearance.
Others
are only now making a name for themselves among the world's
counter-terrorism agencies, as they take advantage of conflict or the
collapse of state authority, forge new alliances or develop new ways of
bringing terror to the international stage.
1. Ayman al-Zawahiri
Despite
the whittling away by drone attacks of "al Qaeda central" in the
mountainous border region between Afghanistan and Pakistan, the group's
leader remains vocal and active in trying to harness the disparate
affiliates that claim the al Qaeda name.
Since former leader Osama bin Laden's
death in 2011, al-Zawahiri has sought to take advantage of the unrest
sweeping the Arab world, and has recognized that groups such as al Qaeda
in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb are
better placed to carry out attacks than the ever-diminishing core that
remains in "Af-Pak." At times, al-Zawahiri has struggled to exercise
authority over groups such as the Islamic State in Iraq, not least
because of the difficulty in communicating with far-flung offshoots.
Aware
that pulling off another 9/11 is a remote possibility, al-Zawahiri has
suggested a shift to less ambitious and less expensive but highly
disruptive attacks on "soft" targets, as well as hostage-taking. In an
audio message in August he recommended taking "the citizens of the
countries that are participating in the invasion of Muslim countries as
hostages."
Al-Zawahiri, an Egyptian doctor who is now 62, is not
the inspirational figure to jihadists that bin Laden was, but he is
trying to fashion a role as the CEO of a sprawling enterprise.
Reward offered by the U.S. government for his capture: up to $25 million
2. Nasir al Wuhayshi
For
someone thought to be about 36 years old, al Wuhayshi's terror resumé
is already extensive. Once bin Laden's private secretary in Afghanistan,
he returned to his native Yemen and ended up in jail. But not for long:
He and several other al Qaeda operatives dug their way out in 2006. He
went on to to help found al Qaeda in Yemen, and began launching attacks
on Yemeni security services and foreign tourists, as well as directing
an ambitious attack against the U.S. Embassy in Yemen.
He is now
the emir of AQAP, widely regarded as the most dangerous and active of al
Qaeda's many offshoots. A slight figure with an impish sense of humor,
according to some who have met him, al Wuhayshi appears to have been
anointed al Qaeda's overall deputy leader in a bold move by al-Zawahiri
to leverage the capabilities of AQAP.
If al-Zawahiri is al
Qaeda's CEO, al Wuhayshi appears to be its COO -- with responsibilities
that extend far beyond Yemen. It appears that in 2012 he was already
giving operational advice to al Qaeda's affiliate in North Africa.
Despite
a concerted effort by the Yemeni government and the United States to
behead AQAP, al Wuhayshi survives, and his fighters have recently gone
on the offensive again in southern Yemen. The group is bent on exporting
terror to the West -- both through bomb plots and by dispatching
Western converts home to sow carnage.
3. Ibrahim al Asiri
Not
a household name, but one that provokes plenty of anxiety among Western
intelligence agencies. Al Asiri, a 31-year-old Saudi, is AQAP's master
bomb-maker, as expert as he is ruthless.
He is widely thought to
have designed the "underwear" bomb that nearly brought down a U.S.
airliner over Detroit on Christmas Day 2009, as well as the ingenious
printer bombs sent as freight from Sanaa, Yemen, and destined for the
United States before being intercepted thanks to a Saudi tip-off. The
bombs were so well hidden that at first British police were unable to
find one device even after isolating the printer.
Al Asiri also
fitted his younger brother Abduillah with a bomb hidden in his rectum in
an effort to kill Saudi Arabia's counter-terrorism chief, Mohammed bin
Nayef. The brother died in the attack; bin Nayef survived.
His trademark explosive is PETN -- a white, odorless powder than cannot be detected by most X-ray machines.
Al
Asiri is thought to be somewhere in the vast mountainous interior of
southern Yemen. The anxiety among Saudi and Western intelligence
officials is that he has passed on his expertise to apprentices.
4. Ahmed Abdi Godane
Godane, aka Mukhtar Abu Zubayr, became the leader of the Somali group Al-Shabaab
at the end of 2008. Traditionally, Al-Shabaab has been focused on
bringing Islamic rule to Somalia, and as such has attracted dozens of
ethnic Somalis (and a few Western coverts) from the United States and
Europe. But Godane appears to be refocusing the group on terrorist
attacks beyond Somalia, against the east African states that are
supporting the Somali government -- especially Uganda and Kenya -- and
against Western interests in east Africa.
The Westgate Mall attack in Nairobi September 21 was Al-Shabaab's
most audacious, but not its first nor most deadly outside Somalia. In
2010, Al-Shabaab carried out suicide bombings in the Ugandan capital,
Kampala, in which more than 70 people were killed. But the Westgate
siege, which left 67 people dead, demonstrated Godane's desire to align
his group more closely with al Qaeda. In a taped message afterward, he
noted the attack took place "just 10 days after the anniversary date of
the blessed 9/11 operations."
Under Godane, Al-Shabaab
has become a formal ally of al Qaeda. That has led to dissent, which
Godane has dealt with ruthlessly, using his control of Al-Shabaab's
intelligence wing. The American jihadist Omar Hammami was killed in
September after criticizing Godane's leadership and his treatment of
foreign fighters.
Godane is said to be 36 years old, and is
originally from Somaliland in northern Somalia. He is slim to the point
of wispy, as seen in the very few photographs of him, and prefers
recording audio messages to appearing in public.
After the
Westgate attack, Kenyan and Western intelligence agencies will
undoubtedly step up efforts to end his reign of terror. But he should
not be underestimated. A former Somali prime minister, Omar Abdirashid
Ali Sharmarke, once described Godane as the cleverest of Al-Shabaab's
leaders.
The U.S. government's Rewards for Justice program lists
him under another alias, Ahmed Abdi Aw-Mohamed, and is offering up to $7
million for information leading to his location.
5. Moktar Belmoktar
Belmoktar
is Algerian but based in the endless expanse of desert known as the
Sahel. Like many on this list, he has an uncanny knack for survival
against the odds. A year ago, he probably would not have been counted
among the world's most dangerous terrorists. Then he announced the
formation of an elite unit called "Those Who Sign With Blood," which he
said would be the shield against the "invading enemy." A short time
later, his fighters launched an attack on the In Amenas gas plant in
southern Algeria. A three-day siege left nearly 40 foreign workers dead.
Since
then, Belmoktar's fighters have launched attacks on a military academy
and French uranium mine in Niger in May, despite losing much of their
freedom of movement after the French intervention in Mali in January.
Belmoktar
is unusual in combining jihadist credentials with a lucrative business
in smuggling and kidnapping. He is often called "Mr. Marlboro" because
of his illicit cigarette trafficking, and is thought to have amassed
millions of dollars through ransoms for westerners kidnapped in Mali.
Intelligence
officials have revealed that he has also developed contacts with
jihadist groups in Libya as instability has gripped the country in the
wake of Moammar Gadhafi's overthrow.
Born in 1972, Belmoktar grew
up in poverty in southern Algeria. He traveled to Afghanistan in 1991
in his late teens to fight its then-Communist government, and returned
to Algeria as a hardened fighter with a new nickname "Belaouar" -- the
"one-eyed" -- after a battlefield injury. He later joined forces with
the Armed Islamic Group (GIA) in its brutal campaign against the
Algerian regime.
Reward offered by the U.S. government: up to $5 million for information leading to his location.
6. Abu Muhammad al Julani
While
Belmoktar might have been on the fringes of a "most dangerous terrorist
list" a year ago, Abu Muhammad al Julani would not have been anywhere
near it. But as Syria has descended into a state of civil war, al
Julani's group -- the al-Nusra Front -- has emerged as one of the most
effective rebel factions. Formed in January 2012, it is a jihadist group
with perhaps 10,000 fighters, many of them battle-hardened in Iraq. It
has specialized in suicide bombings and IED attacks against regime
forces, and its success has attracted hundreds of fighters from other
rebel groups.
Al Julani personally pledged his group's allegiance
to al-Zawahiri in April, and the U.S. State Department has branded
al-Nusra as part of the al Qaeda-affiliated Islamic State in Iraq. In
May, the United States added al Julani to to the list of Specially
Designated Global Terrorists.
Al-Nusra has so far not shown any
inclination to take the fight to Western targets. Andrew Parker, the
head of the British intelligence agency MI5, thinks that will change.
"A
growing proportion of our casework now has some link to Syria...
Al-Nusra and other extremist Sunni groups there aligned with al Qaeda
aspire to attack Western countries," he said in a speech in London this
week.
Of al Julani himself, very little is known. Al-Nusra places
a premium on organizational security. Even his nationality is unclear,
but he is thought to have had experience as an insurgent in Iraq. A
recent study by the Quilliam Foundation in London concluded his
leadership of the group was "uncontested."
"Sources tell us that
his face is always covered in meetings, even with other leaders. Al
Julani is thought to be a Syrian jihadist with suspected close ties to
Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and al Qaeda in Iraq," the study's authors said.
Al-Zarqawi was killed in a U.S. missile strike in 2006.
7. Abu Bakr al Baghdadi
One
factor that may influence the growth and potency of al-Nusra is its
relationship with fellow jihadists in Iraq. Abu Bakr al Baghdadi, the
leader of the Islamic State in Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) was publicly at
odds with al Julani over the regional pecking order earlier this year,
asserting that al-Nusra was part of his group, a claim swiftly rejected
by al Julani. Western intelligence would like nothing more than dissent
between these two groups. Close cooperation between them across the long
Syrian-Iraqi border -- the goal of al-Zawahiri -- is the nightmare
scenario.
On the battlefield in Syria, cooperation between the
two groups appears to be continuing, especially in towns like Deir Izzor
in eastern Syria.
Inside Iraq, al Baghdadi has overseen a
dramatic spike in terror attacks against the Shia-dominated state and
security apparatus, aided by jail breaks and bank robberies. It has also
claimed devastating bomb attacks against Shia civilians and is open
about carrying out attacks on purely sectarian grounds. It claimed
credit for a wave of car bombings in Baghdad on September 30, in which
more than 50 people were killed, calling it a "new page in the series of
destructive blows" against Shiite areas in Iraq.
The monthly number of civilian deaths in Iraq, according to the United Nations, is now at its highest since 2008.
Al
Baghdadi benefits from fertile ground in that Iraq's Sunni minority is
increasingly fearful of the Shia-dominated government led by Prime
Minister Nuri al-Maliki. Sunni tribes straddle the Syrian-Iraqi border,
adding to a combustible regional picture.
Born in Samarra, al
Baghdadi is in his early 40s. In a eulogy for bin Laden, he threatened
violent retribution for his killing. Analysts regard ISIS as a greater
threat now than at any time since the U.S. "surge" and the emergence of
the Sunni Awakening Councils six years ago, which then turned the tide
against al Qaeda in Iraq.
Reward offered by U.S. government, which lists him as Abu Du'a: up to $10 million for information leading to his location.
8. Sirajudin Haqqani
Shifting
from the Middle East to the Afghan-Pakistan border regions, several
groups are positioning themselves for the exit of U.S. combat forces
from Afghanistan next year. Among the most dangerous is the Haqqani
Network, responsible for some of the deadly attacks in Kabul in recent
years. A 2008 coordinated suicide bomb attack on the Serena Hotel in
Kabul left six dead. Another strike in June 2011 killed 12 at the
InterContinental Hotel.
U.S. officials say that in addition to
its high-profile suicide attacks against hotels and other civilian
targets in the Afghan capital, it is responsible for killing and
wounding more than 1,000 U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan.
Siraj Haqqani is the son of the group's founder, and is in his early 40s.
U.S.
officials say the Haqqani Network is all the more dangerous in that its
presence in the tribal territories of Pakistan is tolerated by the
Pakistani government. The family belongs to the Zadran tribe, which
spans the Afghanistan-Pakistan border and stretches to Khost province.
The Haqqanis have a close relationship with both al Qaeda and the
Taliban, but are also thought to have begun recruiting Chechen and
Turkish jihadists.
The Obama administration designated the
Haqqani Network a terror group last year. It is regarded as well-funded
because of a series of legitimate and illicit businesses that stretch to
the Gulf.
Reward offered by U.S. government for information leading to Haqqani's location: up to $5 million
9. Abubakar Shekau
Shekau's
inclusion recognizes the growing tide of Islamist militancy in West
Africa. For the last four years, he has led Boko Haram, a Salafist group
in northern Nigeria that has begun cooperating with other groups as far
away as Mali.
But its main focus remains churches and other
Christian targets, the police and the moderate Muslim establishment in
northern Nigeria. Just last month, suspected Boko Haram fighters broke
into a college in Yobe state and murdered more than 40 students as they
slept.
In 2010, Shekau warned that the group would attack Western
interests and the following year it carried out its first suicide
bombing -- against U.N. offices in the capital, Abuja -- killing at
least 23 people. The group has also kidnapped and killed several Western
hostages. While Bokko Haram is not an affiliate of al Qaeda, Shekau has
made clear his sympathy for the group's goals. The United States made
him a Specially Designated Global Terrorist in June 2012.
Two
caveats here: there are conflicting reports that Shekau was killed in an
August raid by Nigerian special forces. But a video that appeared weeks
later purported to show he was still alive. And Boko Haram's leadership
structure is opaque at best; it's unclear how much control Shekau
himself exerts over its fighters.
Reward offered by the U.S. government: up to $7 million for his location.
10. Doku Umarov
Doku Umarov leads the Caucasus Emirate (CE), a Chechen group dedicated to bringing Islamic rule to much of southern Russia.
U.S. officials have been investigating whether the Tsarnaev brothers -- who were blamed for carrying out the bombing at the Boston Marathon in April 2013 -- had any links with Chechen militant groups. But nothing has surfaced connecting them with CE.
And
the group's main focus has been on attacking Russian institutions and
civilian targets. In January 2011, it bombed Moscow's Domodedovo
airport, killing 36 people, and suicide bombings of Moscow subway
stations in 2010 killed 40 people.
Umarov was born in southern
Chechnya in 1964, according to Chechen websites, and describes his
family as part of the "intelligentsia." He came of age as the separatist
campaign against Russian rule began to take root and joined the
insurgency when then-Russian leader Boris Yeltsin sent troops into the
region in 1994.
In a proclamation published on a Chechen jihadist
website in 2007, he declared, "It was my destiny to lead the Jihad... I
will lead and organize Jihad according to the understanding, given to
me by Allah."
Reward offered by the U.S. government for information on his location: up to $5 million.
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